Thursday, December 18, 2025

Why is anticipatory governance crucial in Timor-Leste's policy formulation?

Timor-Leste is facing issues regarding introducing policies with reduced risk of future harm. One of the issues can be distinctly spotted in the recent introduction of a policy to increase taxes on luxury items and imported goods, including cars, cigarettes, sugars, and sugary drinks, which has caused widespread speculation and concern among citizens. The government failed to anticipate the possibility of a sudden rise in market prices. 
As a country that practices a free market, the negative impact on the market was inevitable. Unfortunately, consumers have been the most affected by the rise in prices of goods other than the four items listed by the government, which has no clear justification. 
This issue raises the question of why the problem occurred in the first place. 
In Timor-Leste, the policy-making process follows the general principles of policy formulation adopted by countries worldwide. The government submits a proposed law, and the member of parliament or bench party submits a project law. It undergoes scrutiny by commissions established in the National Parliament based on its thematic area before it is questioned at the plenary. 
A well-formulated and scrutinized policy should involve every stakeholder responsible for the related area of a policy. This involvement ensures that the policy is formulated based on the best interests of its people, with a sense of good forward-looking to anticipate and reduce risks or future harm that might occur during its implementation. 
However, it appears that Timor-Leste's policy formulation process does not include an adequate assessment of potential future harm that a policy may cause. This lack of foresight could be attributed to the committee's insufficient expertise and advisory support during the policy approval process.
Another problem is the language used in most laws submitted for discussion at the National Parliament. 
The government and other stakeholders need to address these issues to ensure that policies are formulated in the best interest of the people and with a sense of good forward-looking to anticipate and reduce risks or future harm that might occur during their implementation.

To be continued...

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